IMPROVING THE METHOD FOR CALCULATING POTENTIAL DANGEROUS IN THE CONFLICT ZONE FOR COMMON TRAFFIC FLOW THROUGH CLARIFICATION OF REDUCTION COEFFICIENTS FOR THE SEVERITY OF ROAD ACCIDENTS

Article Sidebar

Abstract views: 47
PDF Downloads: 15
pdf (rus) (Русский)
Published: Aug 27, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52928/2070-1616-2024-50-2-30-35
Keywords:
конфликт «транспорт–транспорт», зона дилеммы, конфликтная зона, замедление, уравнение регрессии transport-transport conflict, dilemma zone, conflict zone, slowdown, regression equation
Issue
No. 2 (2024)
Section
Transport

Main Article Content

D. KAPSKI
Belarusian National Technical University, Minsk
D. KHODOSKIN
Belarusian State University of Transport, Gomel

Abstract

The forecast error of the existing method for predicting accident rates in a transport-transport conflict in a passing traffic flow is about 40% (for the method under consideration). A deeper analysis of this method showed that it has broad theoretical (based on the proposal of an improved methodology for determining the inert and active zones of the dilemma) and analytical possibilities for its improvement, which are associated with clarifying general changes in the basic method aimed at clarifying the location and duration of the conflict zone and their formalization, the values of service deceleration when approaching a signalized intersection (SIC), as well as taking into account the weighted average value of deceleration in the conflict zone. In addition, a significant role in further reducing the forecast error is played by clarifying the values of the coefficients for reducing accident severity and then taking them into account when constructing the dependence of the accident rate on the potential danger.

Article Details

How to Cite
KAPSKI, D., & KHODOSKIN, D. (2024). IMPROVING THE METHOD FOR CALCULATING POTENTIAL DANGEROUS IN THE CONFLICT ZONE FOR COMMON TRAFFIC FLOW THROUGH CLARIFICATION OF REDUCTION COEFFICIENTS FOR THE SEVERITY OF ROAD ACCIDENTS. Vestnik of Polotsk State University. Part B. Industry. Applied Sciences, (2), 30-35. https://doi.org/10.52928/2070-1616-2024-50-2-30-35
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Author Biographies

D. KAPSKI, Belarusian National Technical University, Minsk

д-р техн. наук, проф.

D. KHODOSKIN, Belarusian State University of Transport, Gomel

канд. техн. наук

Crossref
Scopus
Google Scholar
Europe PMC

References

Kapskii, D.V. (2008). Prognozirovanie avariinosti v dorozhnom dvizheniii. Minsk: BNTU. (In Russ.)

Kapskii, D.V. & Khodoskin, D.P. (2022). Razrabotka meropriyatii po snizheniyu avariinosti v poputnom transportnom potoke [Development of Activities for Reducing Accidents in Following Traffic Stream]. Vestnik Polotskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Seriya V. Promyshlennost'. Prikladnye nauki [Herald of Polotsk State University. Series B. Industry. Applied Science], 10(46), 86–91. (In Russ., abstr. in Engl.)

Vrubel', Yu.A. (1996). Organizatsiya dorozhnogo dvizheniya: V 2 ch. Ch. 1. Minsk: Belorus. fond bezopasnosti dorozhnogo dvizheniya. (In Russ.)

Luk'yanchuk, A.D. & Kapskii, D.V. (2016). Bezopasnost' transportnykh sredstv. Minsk: BNTU. (In Russ.)

Molodtsov, V.A. (2013). Bezopasnost' transportnykh sredstv. Tambov: FGBOU VPO «TGTU». (In Russ.)

Seregina, V.S., Starovoitov, A.N. & Bocharov, D.I. (2012). Analiz dannykh. Gomel': BelGUT. (In Russ.)

Kharin, Yu.S., Malyugin, V.I. & Abramovich, M.S. (2008). Matematicheskie i komp'yuternye osnovy statisticheskogo analiza dannykh i modelirovaniya. Minsk: BGU. (In Russ.)

Chetyrkin, E.M. & Kalikhman, I.L. (1982). Veroyatnost' i statistika. Moscow: Finansy i statistika. (In Russ.)

Renkin, V. U., Klafi, P., Levinson, G. S., Kvinbi, G. D., Uotlvort, Dzh., Robinson, K. K., … Kass, S. (1981). Avtomobil'nye perevozki i organizatsiya dorozhnogo dvizheniya: spravochnik. Moscow: Transport. (In Russ.)